Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Ternana
33.2%
Draw
22.3%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Ternana
vs
0.75
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.530.1%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.0%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).