Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Elche
26.8%
Draw
33.7%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Elche
vs
1.27
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).