Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Granada
31.5%
Draw
25.0%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Granada
vs
0.75
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).