Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Norwich
25.9%
Draw
30.9%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Norwich
vs
1.36
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).