Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Werder Bremen
24.8%
Draw
32.8%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Werder Bremen
vs
1.47
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).