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10 Nov 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.2%
Djurgården
18.2%
Draw
11.6%
Norrköping

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

Djurgården

vs
0.96

Norrköping

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).