Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Caen
21.1%
Draw
54.5%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Caen
vs
1.84
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).