Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Guimaraes
23.0%
Draw
20.1%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Guimaraes
vs
0.89
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).