Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
St Mirren
30.9%
Draw
43.1%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
St Mirren
vs
1.21
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).