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17 Feb 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Rizespor
22.6%
Draw
60.1%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Rizespor

vs
2.41

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS67.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
0-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).