Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
South Shields
17.7%
Draw
19.0%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
South Shields
vs
1.31
Spal
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).