Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Amiens
19.7%
Draw
58.9%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Amiens
vs
2.02
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).