Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Korona Kielce
29.3%
Draw
33.4%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Korona Kielce
vs
1.20
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).