Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Sampdoria
32.7%
Draw
27.0%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Sampdoria
vs
0.90
Padova
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).