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DHT: 00

24 May 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.5%
Legia Warszawa
24.0%
Draw
19.5%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Legia Warszawa

vs
1.05

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).