Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Kilmarnock
25.1%
Draw
24.6%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Kilmarnock
vs
1.13
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).