Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Red Star
31.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Red Star
vs
0.65
Bastia
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.549.6%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
0-0
17.3%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).