Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Leganes
29.4%
Draw
24.9%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Leganes
vs
0.88
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).