Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Accrington
27.0%
Draw
32.6%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Accrington
vs
1.09
Salford
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).