Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Newport County
21.8%
Draw
59.8%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Newport County
vs
1.82
Bradford
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.0%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).