Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.9%
Bromsgrove Sporting
10.7%
Draw
3.4%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.48
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-0
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
5-0
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).