Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Forest Green
23.8%
Draw
52.2%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Forest Green
vs
1.93
York
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).