Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Sheffield Weds
22.6%
Draw
64.6%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.94
Norwich
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).