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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.8%
Wycombe
19.9%
Draw
12.2%
Port Vale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Wycombe

vs
0.59

Port Vale

Markets

BTTS36.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).