Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Manchester City
21.2%
Draw
10.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Manchester City
vs
0.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).