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AHT: 01CSV

11 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Stenhousemuir
34.6%
Draw
28.2%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.81

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.6%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).