Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Hammarby
20.3%
Draw
13.4%
Häcken
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Hammarby
vs
0.95
Häcken
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).