Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Osnabruck
27.8%
Draw
32.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Osnabruck
vs
1.29
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).