Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Oviedo
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Oviedo
vs
0.75
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).