Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Alaves
32.2%
Draw
33.5%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Alaves
vs
0.95
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).