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03 Oct 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Queens Park
26.3%
Draw
18.4%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Queens Park

vs
0.83

Montrose

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).