Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Norwich
22.7%
Draw
13.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Norwich
vs
0.74
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).