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07 Mar 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Bodrumspor
40.8%
Draw
30.6%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Bodrumspor

vs
0.86

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS35.8%
Over 0.578.2%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
21.8%
1-1
16.5%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.7%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).