Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Holstein Kiel
21.0%
Draw
36.0%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.03
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS77.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
3-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
2-3
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
3-3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).