Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Alanyaspor
30.7%
Draw
43.2%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Alanyaspor
vs
1.59
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).