Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Lorient
16.1%
Draw
14.2%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Lorient
vs
1.05
Metz
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).