Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Cittadella
32.7%
Draw
25.9%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Cittadella
vs
0.86
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).