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16 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.3%
Rotherham
18.2%
Draw
69.5%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Rotherham

vs
2.02

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).