Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Konyaspor
28.4%
Draw
23.8%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Konyaspor
vs
1.25
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).