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DHT: 00CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 15:15

Oviedo

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Amorebieta
29.2%
Draw
48.3%
Oviedo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Amorebieta

vs
1.25

Oviedo

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.9%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).