Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Padova
29.5%
Draw
23.2%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Padova
vs
0.92
Avellino
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).