Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Morecambe
26.8%
Draw
44.3%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Morecambe
vs
1.31
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).