Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Sutton
24.5%
Draw
44.9%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Sutton
vs
1.51
Colchester
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).