⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
D

17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
50.1%
Liverpool
19.1%
Draw
30.8%
Witton Albion

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Liverpool

vs
1.86

Witton Albion

Markets

BTTS76.4%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
3-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).