Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Harrogate
25.1%
Draw
47.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Harrogate
vs
1.48
Sutton
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).