Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Whickham
17.9%
Draw
57.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Whickham
vs
2.61
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS75.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.6%
Over 3.562.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-4
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-4
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).