Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
Fenerbahce
21.9%
Draw
10.8%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Fenerbahce
vs
0.90
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).