Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Catanzaro
26.7%
Draw
19.6%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Catanzaro
vs
0.92
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).