Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Hull
27.0%
Draw
29.7%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Hull
vs
1.24
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).