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AHT: 01

16 Apr 2025 · 11:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.5%
Kryvbas
20.3%
Draw
66.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Kryvbas

vs
2.08

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.9%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).